Business & Economy

US recession probability: IMF raises risk amid Trump tariff tensions

IMF lifts US recession probability to 40% amid tariff tensions and fiscal uncertainty, raising alarms over Trump’s economic gamble.

Natalie Wood·5 min read

Business & Economy

US economy growth: 3.8% surge hides deeper fragility

US economy growth hits 3.8% on consumer spending, but fiscal turmoil and inflation cast doubt on lasting momentum.

Benjamin Scott·4 min read

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